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Alvin is expected to continue a west to west-northwesterly motion, away from Mexico, and is not a threat to any land areas.

Alvin will be over warm waters, under moderate wind shear of 10 — 20 knots, and will have adequate mid-level moisture through Thursday night, which should allow modest intensification to 50 mph winds. By Friday, increasing wind shear and cooling sea surface temperatures should induce a weakening trend, and Alvin will likely dissipate over the weekend.

Long range runs of the GFS model show the possibility of another Eastern Pacific named storm appearing late next week and following a track similar to that of Alvin. If we take the midpoint of these ranges, NOAA is calling for The Mexican weather service, Lloking, is also predicting an above-average Eastern Pacific hurricane season.

Tropical Storm Alvin Forms in Eastern Pacific; the Atlantic Remains Quiet At the time, Alvin was a minimal-strength tropical storm with 40 mph winds. Have you ever noticed that before a storm sometimes the weather seems to In order to answer this question I decided to look at the website. 4 days ago The last time we went from July 15 through Aug. 19 with no named storms in the Atlantic was

A near-normal season there has four to five tropical cyclones, and an above-normal season has six or more tropical cyclones. Figure 1.

Saharan dust was also present over Florida and the Gulf of Mexico. Image credit: High wind shear continues to dominate the usual breeding taiwan shemale for June tropical storms, the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.

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Lower wind shear is present in the waters from Florida through the Bahamas, where June activity is also common. Ocean temperatures are above average through much of the tropical Atlantic, but a large outbreak of dry air and African dust is creating hostile conditions for tropical storm formation.

Long-range Wednesday morning runs of the GFS and European models and their ensembles were not showing any areas of concern for quuet Atlantic during the coming ten days. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. Bob Henson.

Jeff Masters. If you think it's been an unusually quiet hurricane season, you're right: History says yes: Over the years, the period from Aug. Wind shear — strong winds at higher levels of the atmosphere — can tear apart developing storms.

This hasn't been the case in the Pacific Ocean, where four hurricanes have formed.